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La strategia new media del Labour 6 Ottobre , 2009

Posted by Spindoctor in NeXt Politics, New Tech, UK elections 2010.
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di Mark Hanson, a consultant to the British Labour Party on their web strategy (tratto da http://personaldemocracy.com)

Whilst here in the UK we are used to playing catch-up with our American cousins, things have ratcheted up several gears in the past two weeks. Firstly the purchase by Tory Billionaire, Michael Ashcroft , of the blog sites, ConservativeHome and PoliticsHome , for a mind-blowing £1.3 million and then today, the launch of the Tory organising site, MyConservatives.com.

As far as the incumbent Labour Party is concerned, the Tories are catching up on a journey Labour has been on for over 12 months , recognising that success is about the extent to which you can facilitate the members and supporters and help them organise around campaigns and specific areas of interest as well as what parties do centrally.

So what’s Labour been doing?

a) Producing the right collateral — Labour has maintained a steady flow of widgets and campaign tools e.g. the virtual phonebank – an idea borrowed from the Obama campaign

The new grassroots organising tool, membersnet, modelled on my.barackobama.com. It allows people to advertise campaign events to members and non-members which they can then sign up to; see which events their friends are attending; suggests campaign events they might like to attend on the basis of what their friends are attending AND, it also provides a forum through which individuals can set up their own campaigning group. There is already evidence that people are using it.

Then there are other tools such as Web Creator, Email Creator and Text Creator which enable local Party groups to send emails, create web pages and text supporters.

b) Involving the grassroots – the new media team has recognised that not all the experts work inside HQ and has increasingly consulted the blogosphere on campaign activity

c) Encouraging the politicians to engage – whether this be Ministers making themselves available to the public or party members through webchats, forum Q&As or Ministers and MPs interacting properly on Twitter, this is an important dividing line with the Tories – whereabouts in the new media sphere can you question the Tory politicians?

Examples include Yvette Cooper with personal finance communities on www.moneysupermarket.com and Douglas Alexander in a special members webchat during the local election campaign (which was actually an idea submitted by a blogger)

We now have a politician who actually ‘gets it’ i.e. Kerry McCarthy. Through a formalised new media campaign role she is building a bridge between MPs in parliament and the membership via new media

d) Labour was first to start inviting bloggers to press conferences, which caused a ripple of discontentment in the Tory blogosphere and bloggers are regularly briefed on party activities/strategy.

e) The strength of Labour-supporting groups in new media — There are many groups that are loosely affiliated with Labour and are really starting to innovate on the web.

GoFourth is a campaign group led by former Deputy Prime Minister, John Prescott, Labour’s Howard Dean, and it is a great case study of how to use new media to organise around specific issues and fundraising with tactics imported directly from the US

LeftFootForward, is a new fact-checking site from Will Straw, based on the best of the US blogosphere such as Media Matters, and Think Progress to essentially act as a bulwark against right-wing media bias. Then we have 38 Degrees, a newly-launched UK version of the celebrated US liberal site MoveOn.org

There are other, very interesting but informal groups springing up e.g. Northern Bloc – a group of Northern Labour supporting bloggers that group together to crowd-source and cross-promote stories.

The Ashcroft and MyConservatives announcements are essentially the Tories raising the stakes and demonstrating they can throw money at most things in order to win the election. But look more closely and there’s nothing new. The initiatives they’re adopting are strangely familiar. What’s more they still seem unable to throw themselves totally behind this newly adopted strategy: the Conservatives are still reluctant to put their politicians at the mercy of the public via social media and some of their recent new media investments have been criticised for their lack of returns.

The likely date of the General Election is eight months away but the campaign is well underway already. The degree to which either Party can master the ‘organise and engage’ formula will dictate who takes the keys to Number 10 Downing Street.

Tories waste no time in targeting voters for 2009 24 Agosto , 2009

Posted by Spindoctor in Elections, European Politics.
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The Tories are to start campaigning in their target seats in the new year, barely eight months after the general election.
Senior Conservatives have already secured cash pledges from donors to accelerate efforts at Coleshill, the party’s voter contact centre near Coventry in the West Midlands. While voters could be forgiven for election fatigue, they should brace themselves: all three main parties are preparing the ground for the next national contest in 2009-10.

Coleshill has operated at a low level since May 5, but will step up efforts again in January once the question of the leadership has been settled.

Workers will focus on sending out literature carefully directed to target voters in key seats, although some telephone survey work may also be done by volunteers.

“Although the Coleshill operation was still in its infancy at the time of the general election, it has clearly demonstrated its value in supporting the locally based campaigning that is certain to be a key part of the party’s approach in the future,” said Philip Hammond, finance director of the party’s campaigning board as well as shadow chief secretary to the Treasury.

“Politics is becoming more local: the evidence from the general election is clear – candidates who have established a good local base and built their credentials as active and engaged members of the local community earn the respect and support of the electorate.”

Tories cite the success of Richard Benyon, who repeatedly slashed the Lib Dem majority in Newbury before taking the seat on his third attempt, and Grant Shapps, in Welwyn Hatfield, who first fought the seat in 2001 and seized it from Melanie Johnson, a minister, in May.

The huge investment in centralised campaigning during this year’s election reflects a declining activist base in both parties, but also an increasingly professional approach to targeting voters. Donors have promised to cover most of the centre’s costs, more than £1m a year, although some are holding off until the new leader is selected.

Yesterday the Times raised the spectre of yet another candidate, reporting that the Eurosceptic, socially conservative right of the party wanted to put forward its own contender to succeed Michael Howard.

But members of the Cornerstone group of backbenchers played down the suggestion, and one mooted candidate, Bernard Jenkin, ruled himself out. The other, Edward Leigh, is on holiday.

“It’s true that the [existing] candidates have been unsatisfactory for us. None of the three who came to dinner with us seemed sufficiently robust,” said another member of the group, referring to David Davis, David Cameron and Liam Fox. But he added: “I have heard no suggestion we will put someone forward.”

· Labour nominations closed yesterday to be the byelection candidate in Robin Cook’s former constituency, Livingston. The former foreign secretary’s election agent, Jim Devine, a Unison union official, is regarded as the frontrunner. Other contenders include Willie Dunn, deputy leader of West Lothian council, and John Duncan, a former constituency aide to Mr Cook.

Tania Branigan, political correspondent
The Guardian, Tuesday 23 August 2005 00.08 BST

Elezioni 2009: come si sono informati gli italiani secondo il Censis 10 Giugno , 2009

Posted by Spindoctor in Europee 2009, Media.
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I telegiornali restano determinanti per orientare il voto
Due terzi degli elettori si sono informati attraverso i Tg, il 30% ha seguito i programmi giornalistici di approfondimento in Tv, il 25% si è affidato alla carta stampata. E Internet resta al palo

Roma, 9 giugno 2009 – La televisione resta il principale mezzo utilizzato dagli italiani per formarsi un’opinione sull’offerta politica, solo un quarto degli elettori si è affidato ai giornali, uno su dieci per informarsi ha letto il materiale di propaganda dei partiti (volantini, manifesti, ecc.), mentre Internet rappresenta la fonte di informazione per una fetta ancora minoritaria del corpo elettorale, eccetto che tra i giovani.

Secondo un’indagine del Censis, durante la campagna elettorale per le elezioni europee il 69,3% degli elettori si è informato attraverso le notizie e i commenti trasmessi dai telegiornali per scegliere chi votare. I Tg restano il principale mezzo per orientare il voto soprattutto tra i meno istruiti (il dato sale, in questo caso, al 76%), i pensionati (78,7%) e le casalinghe (74,1%).

Al secondo posto, ancora la Tv, con i programmi giornalistici di approfondimento («Porta a porta», «Matrix», ecc.), a cui si è affidato il 30,6% degli elettori. Si tratta soprattutto delle persone più istruite (il dato sale, in questo caso, al 37%) e residenti nelle grandi città, con più di 100.000 abitanti (con quote che oscillano tra il 36% e il 40%), mentre i giovani risultano meno coinvolti da questo format televisivo (il 22,3% nella classe d’età 18-29 anni).

Al terzo posto si colloca la carta stampata: i giornali sono stati determinanti per il 25,4% degli elettori (il 34% tra i più istruiti, e il dato sale ad oltre un terzo degli elettori al Nordest e nelle grandi città, e raggiunge il 35% tra i lavoratori autonomi e i liberi professionisti).

I canali Tv «all news» sono stati seguiti dal 6,6% degli italiani prossimi al voto (soprattutto maschi, 9,3%, e più istruiti, 10,2%). Più di quanti si sono informati attraverso i programmi della radio (il 5,5%), il cui ascolto è apprezzato soprattutto da artigiani e commercianti, liberi professionisti e lavoratori autonomi (12,1%).

I rapporti non mediati, come il confronto con familiari e amici, resta fondamentale per il 19% degli elettori, in particolare per i più giovani (18-29 anni: 26%), residenti nel Mezzogiorno (22,2%) e nei centri urbani minori (città con 10.000-30.000 abitanti: 22,5%). Il materiale di propaganda dei partiti (volantini, manifesti, ecc.) è stato utilizzato dal 10,9% degli elettori, con una punta di attenzione al Nordest (17,4%). La partecipazione diretta alle manifestazioni pubbliche dei partiti rappresenta invece un canale preferenziale per una quota residuale di elettori (il 2,2%), che diminuisce ulteriormente tra i più giovani (18-29 anni: 0,7%).

Internet non sfonda nella comunicazione politica. Durante la campagna elettorale, per formarsi un’opinione solo il 2,3% degli italiani maggiorenni si è collegato ai siti web dei partiti per acquisire informazioni, e solo il 2,1% ha visitato blog, forum di discussione, gruppi di Facebook, ecc. Il dato aumenta solo tra gli studenti: il 7,5% si è collegato ai siti Internet dei partiti e il 5,9% ha navigato su altri siti web in cui si parla di politica.

Pre proiezioni 7 Giugno , 2009

Posted by Spindoctor in Europee 2009.
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I dati che circolano danno un Pdl oltre il 40%, ma la partecipazione va in senso opposto. I dati più bassi sono in aree territoriali dove il pdl era più forte nel 2008…

Chi vincerà? 7 Giugno , 2009

Posted by Spindoctor in Europee 2009.
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Domenica 7 giugno – ore 15.30

Il Corriere della Sera pubblica i pareri di alcuni esperti sulle soglie di successo per i vari partiti mentre in Rete impazzano le previsioni mascherate da previsioni del tempo o corse dei cavalli. L’altalena dei dati mi sembra il risultato di dati sovrastimati nelle settimane scorse e di distorsioni da ponderazione (forse andrebbe fatto uno studio dei climi di opinione che si creano tra sondaggisti).
Credo ad esempio che per l’Italia dei Valori un risultato superiore al 6,5% sarebbe un successo, ma il vero discrimine sarà dato dalla partecipazione nelle varie aree territoriali (vedi risultato Lega Nord che qualcuno prevede possa ripetere il suo massimo storico del 1996).
Di quanto aumenterà il distacco tra PdL-Lega Nord e Pd-Idv? A quanto si assesterà l’area a sinistra del Pd dopo il disastro 2008? Una raccomandazione il giudizio sui partiti si dovrà dare a partire dai dati del 2008 e non dei sondaggi delle settimane scorse. E per il Pd si dovrà tenere conto dell’uscita dei Radicali e del ritorno a casa di una parte degli elettori dei partiti di sinistra che lo votarono per il meccanismo del voto utile…

Leggi l’articolo del Corriere